“Apple went from 3.42% share at the end of 2008 to 5.6% share today excluding the iPad or 17.6% including the iPad. HP went from 19.3% in 2008 to 16% today or 13% if iPad is included.” (via Asymco)

Every industry likes to measure its performance but the choice of metrics can cause business strategy to become disconnected from user reality.

Case in point: last week a debate emerged on Twitter as to whether Apple is now the world’s largest personal computer manufacturer, measured by volume. As the above summary from Asymco shows, the outcome is very different depending on whether the iPad is classified as a personal computer.

The briefest real world observations of user behaviour provide a definite answer to this question much more quickly than any amount of Twitter banter. In almost every household I’ve observed, the iPad rapidly becomes the family’s ‘go to’ personal computing device, superseding phones and supplanting the machines formerly known as PCs.

While it may be inconvenient for the neat, outdated models built by industry analysts where PCs are familiar boxes with keyboards or laptops, the personal computing reality for users is evolving swiftly. The direction is inexorably towards light, thin, wireless, touchscreen slates of varying sizes, which are faster and more convenient for the majority of digital interactions.

If, as a business, your strategy is still built around competing on today’s metrics – defined by analysts who rarely spend any time observing users – you’re almost guaranteed to miss the next major shift in customer behaviour. That, of course, also means missing out on the high profit margins which come with pioneering a new category.

Something to think about when evaluating whether your annual research budgets are better spent on tracking your competitors or getting closer to end users?

Marek Pawlowski

Marek Pawlowski is the founder of MEX. Since 1995, he has focused the MEX business on helping digital industries to develop better, more profitable products through improved understanding of user behaviour with mobile devices and wireless networks. MEX is best known for its events, research and consulting, which balance commercial, technical and user insights to define the future of mobile user experience.

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  • This being a UX site/blog, please allow me to tweak the idea that:

    > The direction is inexorably towards light, thin, wireless, touchscreen slates of varying sizes, which are faster and more convenient for the majority of digital interactions.

    The sales figures show without any doubt that the direction is only towards the subset of those devices *that are easy to use for normal people, and just work out of the box* - ie, currently, towards iPads.

    Form, Functionality and UX are equally essential. Endless rival tablets have been launched only to be ignored totally by normal people, because they suck to use.

  • Agreed, Nick. I was thinking of the successful examples of the genre: iPad, Kindle e-readers and, more recently, the reaction I've seen to the Kindle Fire in the US. In households equipped with those products, the tablets have a gravitational pull which detaches users from their laptops and desktops. Even when the tablet technically belongs to another family member, it becomes the 'go to' device. Form factor is one reason, but perhaps less so than speed of startup and operation, battery life and ease of input.

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